Live prediction market odds for Alejandro Tabilo vs. Kamil Majchrzak. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-30
Alejandro Tabilo vs. Kamil Majchrzak — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-06-30. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Kamil Majchrzak leads the “Alejandro Tabilo vs. Kamil Majchrzak” event at 67.5% implied probability, followed by Alejandro Tabilo at 32.5%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread.
Alejandro Tabilo vs. Kamil Majchrzak is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Kamil Majchrzak leads at 68% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Alejandro Tabilo at 33%.
Kamil Majchrzak currently leads at 68% implied probability. Behind Kamil Majchrzak, Alejandro Tabilo at 33% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Kamil Majchrzak: 67¢ on Kalshi, 68¢ on Polymarket. Alejandro Tabilo: 33¢ on Kalshi, 32¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 68¢ means the market estimates a 68% probability that Kamil Majchrzak will be the outcome. Buying one share at 68¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 47% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Kamil Majchrzak
67.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Alejandro Tabilo wins the Majchrzak vs Tabilo professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Men Singles Round Of 128 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Majchrzak vs Tabilo professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Men Singles Round Of 128 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Kamil Majchrzak and Alejandro Tabilo in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kamil Majchrzak' if Kamil Majchrzak advances against Alejandro Tabilo. This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Tabilo' if Alejandro Tabilo advances against Kamil Majchrzak. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
