Live prediction market odds for Alejandro Tabilo vs. Pablo Carreno Busta. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-05-06
Alejandro Tabilo vs. Pablo Carreno Busta — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-05-06. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Alejandro Tabilo leads the “Alejandro Tabilo vs. Pablo Carreno Busta” event at 67.5% implied probability, followed by Pablo Carreno Busta at 32.8%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread.
Alejandro Tabilo vs. Pablo Carreno Busta is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Alejandro Tabilo leads at 68% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Pablo Carreno Busta at 33%.
Alejandro Tabilo currently leads at 68% implied probability. Behind Alejandro Tabilo, Pablo Carreno Busta at 33% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Alejandro Tabilo: 68¢ on Kalshi, 67¢ on Polymarket. Pablo Carreno Busta: 33¢ on Kalshi, 33¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 68¢ means the market estimates a 68% probability that Alejandro Tabilo will be the outcome. Buying one share at 68¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 47% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Alejandro Tabilo
67.5% avg
