Live prediction market odds for Alex de Minaur vs. Valentin Vacherot. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-04-10
This market resolved on 2026-04-10. Valentin Vacherot was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 69%.
Alex de Minaur vs. Valentin Vacherot — ATP Tennis match held on 2026-04-10. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Valentin VacherotWINNER | 99% | 39% |
Alex de Minaur | 1% | 62% |
Alex de Minaur vs. Valentin Vacherot was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Valentin Vacherot led the market at 69% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Alex de Minaur at 31%.
Valentin Vacherot held the lead at 69% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Valentin Vacherot, Alex de Minaur at 31% were the next closest contenders. The 60.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Valentin Vacherot: 99¢ on Kalshi, 39¢ on Polymarket. Alex de Minaur: 1¢ on Kalshi, 62¢ on Polymarket. The 60.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 69¢ meant the market estimated a 69% chance that Valentin Vacherot would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 69¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 45% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Valentin Vacherot
68.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Valentin Vacherot wins the Vacherot vs de Minaur professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Monte Carlo Quarterfinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Vacherot vs de Minaur professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Monte Carlo Quarterfinal after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Valentin Vacherot and Alex de Minaur in the Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, scheduled for April 10 2026. This market will resolve to “Vacherot” if Valentin Vacherot wins the first set. It will resolve to “Minaur” if Alex de Minaur wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics.
