Live prediction market odds for Alex Molcan vs. Fabian Marozsan. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-22
Alex Molcan vs. Fabian Marozsan — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-06-22. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Fabian Marozsan leads the “Alex Molcan vs. Fabian Marozsan” event at 56.0% implied probability, followed by Alex Molcan at 45.0%. A 2.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Alex Molcan vs. Fabian Marozsan is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Fabian Marozsan leads at 56% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Alex Molcan at 45%.
Fabian Marozsan currently leads at 56% implied probability. Behind Fabian Marozsan, Alex Molcan at 45% are the next closest contenders. A 2.0% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Fabian Marozsan: 57¢ on Kalshi, 55¢ on Polymarket. Alex Molcan: 45¢ on Kalshi, 45¢ on Polymarket. The 2.0% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 56¢ means the market estimates a 56% probability that Fabian Marozsan will be the outcome. Buying one share at 56¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 79% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Fabian Marozsan wins the Marozsan vs Molcan professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Mallorca Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Marozsan vs Molcan professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Mallorca Round Of 32 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Fabian Marozsan and Alex Molcan in the Mallorca Championships, originally scheduled for June 22, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Fabian Marozsan' if Fabian Marozsan advances against Alex Molcan. This market will resolve to 'Alex Molcan' if Alex Molcan advances against Fabian Marozsan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Fabian Marozsan
56.0% avg
