Live prediction market odds for Alex Molcan vs. Gabriel Diallo. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-01
Alex Molcan vs. Gabriel Diallo — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-01. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Gabriel Diallo leads the “Alex Molcan vs. Gabriel Diallo” event at 57.3% implied probability, followed by Alex Molcan at 42.8%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread.
Alex Molcan vs. Gabriel Diallo is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Gabriel Diallo leads at 57% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Alex Molcan at 43%.
Gabriel Diallo currently leads at 57% implied probability. Behind Gabriel Diallo, Alex Molcan at 43% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Gabriel Diallo: 57¢ on Kalshi, 58¢ on Polymarket. Alex Molcan: 43¢ on Kalshi, 43¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 57¢ means the market estimates a 57% probability that Gabriel Diallo will be the outcome. Buying one share at 57¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 75% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
Gabriel Diallo
57.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Gabriel Diallo wins the Diallo vs Molcan professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Bucharest Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Diallo vs Molcan professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Bucharest Round Of 16 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers on the tennis match between Gabriel Diallo and Alex Molcan in the Bucharest Open, scheduled for April 1 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gabriel Diallo' if Gabriel Diallo advances against Alex Molcan. This market will resolve to 'Alex Molcan' if Alex Molcan advances against Gabriel Diallo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
