Live prediction market odds for Alex Molcan vs. Gabriel Diallo. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-01
Alex Molcan vs. Gabriel Diallo — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-01. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Gabriel Diallo leads the “Alex Molcan vs. Gabriel Diallo” event at 30.5% implied probability, followed by Alex Molcan at 69.5%. A 59.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Alex Molcan vs. Gabriel Diallo is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Gabriel Diallo leads at 31% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Alex Molcan at 70%.
Gabriel Diallo currently leads at 31% implied probability. Behind Gabriel Diallo, Alex Molcan at 70% are the next closest contenders. The 59.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Gabriel Diallo: 1¢ on Kalshi, 60¢ on Polymarket. Alex Molcan: 99¢ on Kalshi, 40¢ on Polymarket. The 59.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 31¢ means the market estimates a 31% probability that Gabriel Diallo will be the outcome. Buying one share at 31¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 223% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Gabriel Diallo
30.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Gabriel Diallo wins the Diallo vs Molcan professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Bucharest Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Diallo vs Molcan professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Bucharest Round Of 16 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers on the tennis match between Gabriel Diallo and Alex Molcan in the Bucharest Open, scheduled for April 1 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gabriel Diallo' if Gabriel Diallo advances against Alex Molcan. This market will resolve to 'Alex Molcan' if Alex Molcan advances against Gabriel Diallo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
