Live prediction market odds for Alex Rybakov vs. Alex Bolt. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-03-28
Alex Rybakov vs. Alex Bolt — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-03-28. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Alex Rybakov leads the “Alex Rybakov vs. Alex Bolt” event at 48.5% implied probability, followed by Alex Bolt at 53.5%. A 11.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Alex Rybakov vs. Alex Bolt is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Alex Rybakov leads at 49% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Alex Bolt at 54%.
Alex Rybakov currently leads at 49% implied probability. Behind Alex Rybakov, Alex Bolt at 54% are the next closest contenders. The 11.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Alex Rybakov: 45¢ on Kalshi, 52¢ on Polymarket. Alex Bolt: 59¢ on Kalshi, 48¢ on Polymarket. The 11.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 49¢ means the market estimates a 49% probability that Alex Rybakov will be the outcome. Buying one share at 49¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 104% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
Alex Rybakov
48.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Alex Bolt wins the Bolt vs Rybakov professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Houston Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Bolt vs Rybakov professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Houston Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers on the tennis match between Alex Bolt and Alex Rybakov in the US Men's Clay Court Championships, Qualification, scheduled for March 28 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex Bolt' if Alex Bolt advances against Alex Rybakov. This market will resolve to 'Alex Rybakov' if Alex Rybakov advances against Alex Bolt. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
