Live prediction market odds for Alex Rybakov vs. Alex Bolt. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-03-28
This market resolved on 2026-03-28. Alex Bolt was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 81%.
Alex Rybakov vs. Alex Bolt — ATP Tennis match held on 2026-03-28. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Alex BoltWINNER | 99% | 64% |
Alex Rybakov | 1% | 37% |
Alex Rybakov vs. Alex Bolt was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Alex Bolt led the market at 81% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Alex Rybakov at 19%.
Alex Bolt held the lead at 81% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Alex Bolt, Alex Rybakov at 19% were the next closest contenders. The 35.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Alex Bolt: 99¢ on Kalshi, 64¢ on Polymarket. Alex Rybakov: 1¢ on Kalshi, 37¢ on Polymarket. The 35.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 81¢ meant the market estimated a 81% chance that Alex Bolt would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 81¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 23% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Alex Bolt wins the Bolt vs Rybakov professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Houston Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Bolt vs Rybakov professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Houston Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers on the tennis match between Alex Bolt and Alex Rybakov in the US Men's Clay Court Championships, Qualification, scheduled for March 28 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex Bolt' if Alex Bolt advances against Alex Rybakov. This market will resolve to 'Alex Rybakov' if Alex Rybakov advances against Alex Bolt. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Alex Bolt
81.3% avg
