Live prediction market odds for Alex Rybakov vs. Alex Bolt. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-03-29
Alex Rybakov vs. Alex Bolt — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-03-29. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Alex Bolt leads the “Alex Rybakov vs. Alex Bolt” event at 55.0% implied probability, followed by Alex Rybakov at 47.0%. A 8.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Alex Rybakov vs. Alex Bolt is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Alex Bolt leads at 55% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Alex Rybakov at 47%.
Alex Bolt currently leads at 55% implied probability. Behind Alex Bolt, Alex Rybakov at 47% are the next closest contenders. The 8.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Alex Bolt: 59¢ on Kalshi, 51¢ on Polymarket. Alex Rybakov: 45¢ on Kalshi, 49¢ on Polymarket. The 8.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 55¢ means the market estimates a 55% probability that Alex Bolt will be the outcome. Buying one share at 55¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 82% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
Alex Bolt
55.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Alex Bolt wins the Bolt vs Rybakov professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Houston Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Bolt vs Rybakov professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Houston Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Alex Bolt and Alex Rybakov in the US Men's Clay Court Championships, Qualification, scheduled for March 28 2026. This market will resolve to “Bolt” if Alex Bolt wins the first set. It will resolve to “Rybakov” if Alex Rybakov wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics.
