Live prediction market odds for Alexander Bublik vs. Carlos Alcaraz. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-10
Alexander Bublik vs. Carlos Alcaraz — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-10. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Carlos Alcaraz leads the “Alexander Bublik vs. Carlos Alcaraz” event at 92.5% implied probability, followed by Alexander Bublik at 8.0%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread.
Alexander Bublik vs. Carlos Alcaraz is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Carlos Alcaraz leads at 93% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Alexander Bublik at 8%.
Carlos Alcaraz currently leads at 93% implied probability. Behind Carlos Alcaraz, Alexander Bublik at 8% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Carlos Alcaraz: 93¢ on Kalshi, 93¢ on Polymarket. Alexander Bublik: 9¢ on Kalshi, 8¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 93¢ means the market estimates a 93% probability that Carlos Alcaraz will be the outcome. Buying one share at 93¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 8% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Carlos Alcaraz
92.5% avg
