Live prediction market odds for Alexander Bublik vs. Gael Monfils. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-04-07
This market resolved on 2026-04-07. Alexander Bublik was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 84%.
Alexander Bublik vs. Gael Monfils — ATP Tennis match held on 2026-04-07. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Alexander BublikWINNER | 99% | 69% |
Gael Monfils | 1% | 32% |
Alexander Bublik vs. Gael Monfils was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Alexander Bublik led the market at 84% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Gael Monfils at 16%.
Alexander Bublik held the lead at 84% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Alexander Bublik, Gael Monfils at 16% were the next closest contenders. The 30.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Alexander Bublik: 99¢ on Kalshi, 69¢ on Polymarket. Gael Monfils: 1¢ on Kalshi, 32¢ on Polymarket. The 30.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 84¢ meant the market estimated a 84% chance that Alexander Bublik would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 84¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 19% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Gael Monfils wins the Monfils vs Bublik professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Monte Carlo Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Monfils vs Bublik professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Monte Carlo Round Of 32 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers on the tennis match between Gael Monfils and Alexander Bublik in the Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, scheduled for April 8 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gael Monfils' if Gael Monfils advances against Alexander Bublik. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Bublik' if Alexander Bublik advances against Gael Monfils. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Alexander Bublik
83.8% avg
