Live prediction market odds for Alexander Shevchenko vs. Marin Cilic. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-04-07
This market resolved on 2026-04-07. Marin Cilic was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 66%.
Alexander Shevchenko vs. Marin Cilic — ATP Tennis match held on 2026-04-07. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Marin CilicWINNER | 99% | 32% |
Alexander Shevchenko | 1% | 68% |
Alexander Shevchenko vs. Marin Cilic was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Marin Cilic led the market at 66% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Alexander Shevchenko at 35%.
Marin Cilic held the lead at 66% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Marin Cilic, Alexander Shevchenko at 35% were the next closest contenders. The 67.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Marin Cilic: 99¢ on Kalshi, 32¢ on Polymarket. Alexander Shevchenko: 1¢ on Kalshi, 68¢ on Polymarket. The 67.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 66¢ meant the market estimated a 66% chance that Marin Cilic would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 66¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 52% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Marin Cilic
65.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Marin Cilic wins the Cilic vs Shevchenko professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Monte Carlo Round Of 64 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Cilic vs Shevchenko professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Monte Carlo Round Of 64 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Marin Cilic and Alexander Shevchenko in the Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, scheduled for April 7 2026. This market will resolve to "Cilic" if Marin Cilic wins by 2 or more sets than Alexander Shevchenko, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Shevchenko." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.
