Live prediction market odds for Alexander Zverev vs. Joao Fonseca. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-04-10
This market resolved on 2026-04-10. Alexander Zverev was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 81%.
Alexander Zverev vs. Joao Fonseca — ATP Tennis match held on 2026-04-10. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Alexander ZverevWINNER | 99% | 63% |
Joao Fonseca | 1% | 38% |
Alexander Zverev vs. Joao Fonseca was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Alexander Zverev led the market at 81% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Joao Fonseca at 19%.
Alexander Zverev held the lead at 81% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Alexander Zverev, Joao Fonseca at 19% were the next closest contenders. The 36.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Alexander Zverev: 99¢ on Kalshi, 63¢ on Polymarket. Joao Fonseca: 1¢ on Kalshi, 38¢ on Polymarket. The 36.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 81¢ meant the market estimated a 81% chance that Alexander Zverev would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 81¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 23% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Joao Fonseca wins the Fonseca vs Zverev professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Monte Carlo Quarterfinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Fonseca vs Zverev professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Monte Carlo Quarterfinal after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers on the tennis match between Joao Fonseca and Alexander Zverev in the Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, scheduled for April 10 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Joao Fonseca' if Joao Fonseca advances against Alexander Zverev. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Zverev' if Alexander Zverev advances against Joao Fonseca. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Alexander Zverev
80.8% avg
