Live prediction market odds for Alexandre Muller vs. Federico Cina. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-03-30
Alexandre Muller vs. Federico Cina — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-03-30. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Alexandre Muller leads the “Alexandre Muller vs. Federico Cina” event at 63.0% implied probability, followed by Federico Cina at 54.8%. A 22.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Alexandre Muller vs. Federico Cina is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Alexandre Muller leads at 63% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Federico Cina at 55%.
Alexandre Muller currently leads at 63% implied probability. Behind Alexandre Muller, Federico Cina at 55% are the next closest contenders. The 22.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Alexandre Muller: 74¢ on Kalshi, 52¢ on Polymarket. Federico Cina: 62¢ on Kalshi, 48¢ on Polymarket. The 22.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 63¢ means the market estimates a 63% probability that Alexandre Muller will be the outcome. Buying one share at 63¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 59% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
Alexandre Muller
63.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Alexandre Muller wins the Cina vs Muller professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Marrakech Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Cina vs Muller professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Marrakech Round Of 32 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers on the tennis match between Federico Cina and Alexandre Muller in the Grand Prix Hassan II, scheduled for March 30 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Federico Cina' if Federico Cina advances against Alexandre Muller. This market will resolve to 'Alexandre Muller' if Alexandre Muller advances against Federico Cina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
