Live prediction market odds for Alexandre Muller vs. Matteo Arnaldi. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-05
Alexandre Muller vs. Matteo Arnaldi — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-05. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Alexandre Muller leads the “Alexandre Muller vs. Matteo Arnaldi” event at 53.0% implied probability, followed by Matteo Arnaldi at 48.0%. A 2.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Alexandre Muller vs. Matteo Arnaldi is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Alexandre Muller leads at 53% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Matteo Arnaldi at 48%.
Alexandre Muller currently leads at 53% implied probability. Behind Alexandre Muller, Matteo Arnaldi at 48% are the next closest contenders. A 2.0% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Alexandre Muller: 54¢ on Kalshi, 52¢ on Polymarket. Matteo Arnaldi: 48¢ on Kalshi, 48¢ on Polymarket. The 2.0% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 53¢ means the market estimates a 53% probability that Alexandre Muller will be the outcome. Buying one share at 53¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 89% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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This market resolves based on official announcements from authoritative sources. Prediction Hunt aggregates odds across platforms but does not determine outcomes. Each platform maintains its own resolution criteria — check each platform's rules before trading.
Alexandre Muller
53.0% avg
