Live prediction market odds for Alexandre Muller vs. Max Alcala Gurri. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-11
Alexandre Muller vs. Max Alcala Gurri — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-11. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Alexandre Muller leads the “Alexandre Muller vs. Max Alcala Gurri” event at 77.0% implied probability, followed by Max Alcala Gurri at 24.5%. A 4.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Alexandre Muller vs. Max Alcala Gurri is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Alexandre Muller leads at 77% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Max Alcala Gurri at 25%.
Alexandre Muller currently leads at 77% implied probability. Behind Alexandre Muller, Max Alcala Gurri at 25% are the next closest contenders. The 4.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Alexandre Muller: 79¢ on Kalshi, 75¢ on Polymarket. Max Alcala Gurri: 24¢ on Kalshi, 25¢ on Polymarket. The 4.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 77¢ means the market estimates a 77% probability that Alexandre Muller will be the outcome. Buying one share at 77¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 30% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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This market resolves based on official announcements from authoritative sources. Prediction Hunt aggregates odds across platforms but does not determine outcomes. Each platform maintains its own resolution criteria — check each platform's rules before trading.
Alexandre Muller
77.0% avg
