Live prediction market odds for Alexis Galarneau vs. Gabriel Debru. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-03-28
Alexis Galarneau vs. Gabriel Debru — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-03-28. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Alexis Galarneau leads the “Alexis Galarneau vs. Gabriel Debru” event at 61.3% implied probability, followed by Gabriel Debru at 38.3%. A 22.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Alexis Galarneau vs. Gabriel Debru is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Alexis Galarneau leads at 61% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Gabriel Debru at 38%.
Alexis Galarneau currently leads at 61% implied probability. Behind Alexis Galarneau, Gabriel Debru at 38% are the next closest contenders. The 22.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Alexis Galarneau: 72¢ on Kalshi, 51¢ on Polymarket. Gabriel Debru: 27¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. The 22.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 61¢ means the market estimates a 61% probability that Alexis Galarneau will be the outcome. Buying one share at 61¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 64% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
Alexis Galarneau
61.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Gabriel Debru wins the Debru vs Galarneau professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Houston Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Debru vs Galarneau professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Houston Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers on the tennis match between Gabriel Debru and Alexis Galarneau in the US Men's Clay Court Championships, Qualification, scheduled for March 28 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gabriel Debru' if Gabriel Debru advances against Alexis Galarneau. This market will resolve to 'Alexis Galarneau' if Alexis Galarneau advances against Gabriel Debru. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
