Live prediction market odds for Alexis Galarneau vs. Liam Draxl. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-03-30
Alexis Galarneau vs. Liam Draxl — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-03-30. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Alexis Galarneau leads the “Alexis Galarneau vs. Liam Draxl” event at 44.8% implied probability, followed by Liam Draxl at 55.5%. A 12.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Alexis Galarneau vs. Liam Draxl is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Alexis Galarneau leads at 45% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Liam Draxl at 56%.
Alexis Galarneau currently leads at 45% implied probability. Behind Alexis Galarneau, Liam Draxl at 56% are the next closest contenders. The 12.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Alexis Galarneau: 39¢ on Kalshi, 51¢ on Polymarket. Liam Draxl: 62¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. The 12.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 45¢ means the market estimates a 45% probability that Alexis Galarneau will be the outcome. Buying one share at 45¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 122% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
Alexis Galarneau
44.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Liam Draxl wins the Draxl vs Galarneau professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Houston Qualification Final after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Draxl vs Galarneau professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Houston Qualification Final after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers on the tennis match between Liam Draxl and Alexis Galarneau in the US Men's Clay Court Championships, Qualification, scheduled for March 29 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Liam Draxl' if Liam Draxl advances against Alexis Galarneau. This market will resolve to 'Alexis Galarneau' if Alexis Galarneau advances against Liam Draxl. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
