Prediction Hunt logoPrediction Hunt
MarketsSmart MoneyArbitrageTrendingPaper TradingAPIPricing
Live
Prediction Hunt

Compare prediction market odds across every platform. Find the best prices and track smart money.

Markets

  • Elections
  • Sports
  • Crypto
  • Entertainment
  • US Presidential Election Hub
  • Archive

Tools

  • Trending
  • Arbitrage Scanner
  • Smart Money Feed
  • Calculators
  • News
  • Blog

Community

  • Discord
  • Twitter / X
  • Tools
  • About
  • API Terms of Service

This information is for informational and educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Always verify resolution criteria and platform rules before trading.

MarketsWhalesArbTrending

Live prediction market odds for Alexis Galarneau vs. Liam Draxl. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
Sign-up bonus

Trade $20, get $20

Sign-up bonus on Kalshi. T&Cs apply.

Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Jun 17, 2026Last used 14 mins ago2 min avg claim

MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket

Liam Draxl Wins: Alexis Galarneau vs. Liam Draxl

Resolved 2026-03-30

This market resolved on 2026-03-30. Liam Draxl was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 82%.

About This Market

Share

Alexis Galarneau vs. Liam Draxl — ATP Tennis match held on 2026-03-30. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…
Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
Sign-up bonus

Trade $20, get $20

Sign-up bonus on Kalshi. T&Cs apply.

Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Jun 17, 2026Last used 14 mins ago2 min avg claim

Final Closing Odds

2 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket
Liam DraxlWINNER
99%64%
Alexis Galarneau
1%36%

Frequently Asked Questions

What was "Alexis Galarneau vs. Liam Draxl" and why did it matter?

Alexis Galarneau vs. Liam Draxl was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Liam Draxl led the market at 82% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Alexis Galarneau at 19%.

What moved the odds on "Alexis Galarneau vs. Liam Draxl"?

Liam Draxl held the lead at 82% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Liam Draxl, Alexis Galarneau at 19% were the next closest contenders. The 35.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

What were the final odds for "Alexis Galarneau vs. Liam Draxl" across platforms?

Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Liam Draxl: 99¢ on Kalshi, 64¢ on Polymarket. Alexis Galarneau: 1¢ on Kalshi, 36¢ on Polymarket. The 35.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.

What did 82% odds for Liam Draxl mean?

A price of 82¢ meant the market estimated a 82% chance that Liam Draxl would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 82¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 22% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.

Automate This Market

Build a custom bot or arb alert system for the “Alexis Galarneau vs. Liam Draxl” event. All for free.

As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et

Used by builders and traders in our 3K+ Discord community

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread35.0%
Platforms2
Candidates2
Winner

Liam Draxl

81.5% avg

Market Rulebook: Alexis Galarneau vs. Liam Draxl

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Liam Draxl wins the Draxl vs Galarneau professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Houston Qualification Final after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Draxl vs Galarneau professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Houston Qualification Final after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market refers on the tennis match between Liam Draxl and Alexis Galarneau in the US Men's Clay Court Championships, Qualification, scheduled for March 29 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Liam Draxl' if Liam Draxl advances against Alexis Galarneau. This market will resolve to 'Alexis Galarneau' if Alexis Galarneau advances against Liam Draxl. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?
No price history available