Prediction Hunt logoPrediction Hunt
MarketsArbitrageSmart MoneyTrendingPaper TradingAPIPricing
Live
Prediction Hunt

Compare prediction market odds across every platform. Find the best prices and track smart money.

Markets

  • Elections
  • Sports
  • Crypto
  • Entertainment
  • US Presidential Election Hub
  • Archive

Tools

  • Trending
  • Arbitrage Scanner
  • Smart Money Feed
  • Calculators
  • News
  • Blog

Community

  • Discord
  • Twitter / X
  • Tools
  • About
  • Affiliate Program
  • API Terms of Service

This information is for informational and educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Always verify resolution criteria and platform rules before trading.

MarketsArbWhalesTrending

Live prediction market odds for Alvaro Guillen Meza vs. Colton Smith. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

Join our Discord for breaking news alerts, driven by real-time movements in prediction markets.

Discord
Follow on X

Kalshi / Polymarket

Alvaro Guillen Meza vs. Colton Smith

2026-05-19

About This Market

Share

Alvaro Guillen Meza vs. Colton Smith — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-05-19. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Alvaro Guillen Meza is priced at 0.6% implied probability for the “Alvaro Guillen Meza vs. Colton Smith” event. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.9% spread.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
AG
Alvaro Guillen Meza
0% Avg
Kalshi1¢
Polymarket0¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
0.5%0¢1¢99¢100¢
PolymarketPolymarket
0.0%0¢0¢100¢100¢

Frequently Asked Questions

What is "Alvaro Guillen Meza vs. Colton Smith" and why does it matter?

Alvaro Guillen Meza vs. Colton Smith is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Alvaro Guillen Meza leads at 1% implied probability, making it the market favorite.

What is moving the odds on "Alvaro Guillen Meza vs. Colton Smith"?

Alvaro Guillen Meza currently leads at 1% implied probability. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.9% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.

What are the current odds for "Alvaro Guillen Meza vs. Colton Smith" across platforms?

Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Alvaro Guillen Meza: 1¢ on Kalshi, 0¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.9% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.

What does it mean that Alvaro Guillen Meza is at 1%?

A price of 1¢ means the market estimates a 1% probability that Alvaro Guillen Meza will be the outcome. Buying one share at 1¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 9900% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.

Automate This Market

Build a custom bot or arb alert system for the “Alvaro Guillen Meza vs. Colton Smith” event. All for free.

As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et

Used by builders and traders in our 2.5K+ Discord community

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread0.9%
Platforms2
Candidates1

Market Rulebook: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs. Colton Smith

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Alvaro Guillen Meza wins the Smith vs Guillen Meza professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Men Singles Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Smith vs Guillen Meza professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Men Singles Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market refers to the tennis match between Colton Smith and Alvaro Guillen Meza in the Roland Garros, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for May 19, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Colton Smith' if Colton Smith advances against Alvaro Guillen Meza. This market will resolve to 'Alvaro Guillen Meza' if Alvaro Guillen Meza advances against Colton Smith. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?
Leader

Alvaro Guillen Meza

0.6% avg