Live prediction market odds for Andrea Pellegrino vs. Lorenzo Giustino. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Join our Discord for breaking news alerts, driven by real-time movements in prediction markets.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-11
Andrea Pellegrino vs. Lorenzo Giustino — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-11. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Andrea Pellegrino leads the “Andrea Pellegrino vs. Lorenzo Giustino” event at 54.8% implied probability, followed by Lorenzo Giustino at 45.8%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread.
Andrea Pellegrino vs. Lorenzo Giustino is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Andrea Pellegrino leads at 55% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Lorenzo Giustino at 46%.
Andrea Pellegrino currently leads at 55% implied probability. Behind Andrea Pellegrino, Lorenzo Giustino at 46% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Andrea Pellegrino: 55¢ on Kalshi, 55¢ on Polymarket. Lorenzo Giustino: 46¢ on Kalshi, 46¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 55¢ means the market estimates a 55% probability that Andrea Pellegrino will be the outcome. Buying one share at 55¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 82% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
Build a custom bot or arb alert system for the “Andrea Pellegrino vs. Lorenzo Giustino” event. All for free.
As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
Used by builders and traders in our 3K+ Discord community
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Lorenzo Giustino wins the Giustino vs Pellegrino professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Munich Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Giustino vs Pellegrino professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Munich Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers on the tennis match between Lorenzo Giustino and Andrea Pellegrino in the BMW Open, Qualification, scheduled for April 11 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Giustino' if Lorenzo Giustino advances against Andrea Pellegrino. This market will resolve to 'Andrea Pellegrino' if Andrea Pellegrino advances against Lorenzo Giustino. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Andrea Pellegrino
54.8% avg
