Live prediction market odds for Andres Andrade vs. Alex Bolt. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-03-29
This market resolved on 2026-03-29. Alex Bolt was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 68%.
Andres Andrade vs. Alex Bolt — ATP Tennis match held on 2026-03-29. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Alex BoltWINNER | 99% | 36% |
Andres Andrade | 1% | 64% |
Andres Andrade vs. Alex Bolt was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Alex Bolt led the market at 68% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Andres Andrade at 33%.
Alex Bolt held the lead at 68% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Alex Bolt, Andres Andrade at 33% were the next closest contenders. The 63.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Alex Bolt: 99¢ on Kalshi, 36¢ on Polymarket. Andres Andrade: 1¢ on Kalshi, 64¢ on Polymarket. The 63.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 68¢ meant the market estimated a 68% chance that Alex Bolt would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 68¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 47% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Andres Andrade wins the Bolt vs Andrade professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Houston Qualification Final after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Bolt vs Andrade professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Houston Qualification Final after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers on the tennis match between Alex Bolt and Andres Andrade in the US Men's Clay Court Championships, Qualification, scheduled for March 29 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex Bolt' if Alex Bolt advances against Andres Andrade. This market will resolve to 'Andres Andrade' if Andres Andrade advances against Alex Bolt. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Alex Bolt
67.5% avg
