Live prediction market odds for Andres Andrade vs. Alex Bolt. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-03-30
Andres Andrade vs. Alex Bolt — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-03-30. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Andres Andrade leads the “Andres Andrade vs. Alex Bolt” event at 32.5% implied probability, followed by Alex Bolt at 67.5%. A 63.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Andres Andrade vs. Alex Bolt is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Andres Andrade leads at 33% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Alex Bolt at 68%.
Andres Andrade currently leads at 33% implied probability. Behind Andres Andrade, Alex Bolt at 68% are the next closest contenders. The 63.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Andres Andrade: 1¢ on Kalshi, 64¢ on Polymarket. Alex Bolt: 99¢ on Kalshi, 36¢ on Polymarket. The 63.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 33¢ means the market estimates a 33% probability that Andres Andrade will be the outcome. Buying one share at 33¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 203% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Andres Andrade
32.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Andres Andrade wins the Bolt vs Andrade professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Houston Qualification Final after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Bolt vs Andrade professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Houston Qualification Final after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers on the tennis match between Alex Bolt and Andres Andrade in the US Men's Clay Court Championships, Qualification, scheduled for March 29 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex Bolt' if Alex Bolt advances against Andres Andrade. This market will resolve to 'Andres Andrade' if Andres Andrade advances against Alex Bolt. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
