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Live prediction market odds for Andres Martin vs. Federico Agustin Gomez. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket

Federico Agustin Gomez Wins: Andres Martin vs. Federico Agustin Gomez

Resolved 2026-03-29

This market resolved on 2026-03-29. Federico Agustin Gomez was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 91%.

About This Market

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Andres Martin vs. Federico Agustin Gomez — ATP Tennis match held on 2026-03-29. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
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Final Closing Odds

2 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket
Federico Agustin GomezWINNER
99%83%
Andres Martin
1%17%

Frequently Asked Questions

What was "Andres Martin vs. Federico Agustin Gomez" and why did it matter?

Andres Martin vs. Federico Agustin Gomez was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Federico Agustin Gomez led the market at 91% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Andres Martin at 9%.

What moved the odds on "Andres Martin vs. Federico Agustin Gomez"?

Federico Agustin Gomez held the lead at 91% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Federico Agustin Gomez, Andres Martin at 9% were the next closest contenders. The 16.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

What were the final odds for "Andres Martin vs. Federico Agustin Gomez" across platforms?

Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Federico Agustin Gomez: 99¢ on Kalshi, 83¢ on Polymarket. Andres Martin: 1¢ on Kalshi, 17¢ on Polymarket. The 16.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.

What did 91% odds for Federico Agustin Gomez mean?

A price of 91¢ meant the market estimated a 91% chance that Federico Agustin Gomez would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 91¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 10% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread16.5%
Platforms2
Candidates2
Winner

Federico Agustin Gomez

91.0% avg

Market Rulebook: Andres Martin vs. Federico Agustin Gomez

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Federico Agustin Gomez wins the Gomez vs Martin professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Houston Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Gomez vs Martin professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Houston Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market refers to the tennis match between Federico Agustin Gomez and Andres Martin in the US Men's Clay Court Championships, Qualification, scheduled for March 28 2026. This market will resolve to “Gomez” if Federico Agustin Gomez wins the first set. It will resolve to “Martin” if Andres Martin wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle
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