Live prediction market odds for Andrey Rublev vs. Jannik Sinner. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-05-14
Andrey Rublev vs. Jannik Sinner — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-05-14. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Jannik Sinner leads the “Andrey Rublev vs. Jannik Sinner” event at 95.5% implied probability, followed by Andrey Rublev at 4.8%. A 1.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Andrey Rublev vs. Jannik Sinner is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Jannik Sinner leads at 96% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Andrey Rublev at 5%.
Jannik Sinner currently leads at 96% implied probability. Behind Jannik Sinner, Andrey Rublev at 5% are the next closest contenders. A 1.5% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Jannik Sinner: 95¢ on Kalshi, 96¢ on Polymarket. Andrey Rublev: 6¢ on Kalshi, 4¢ on Polymarket. The 1.5% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 96¢ means the market estimates a 96% probability that Jannik Sinner will be the outcome. Buying one share at 96¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 4% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Jannik Sinner wins the Sinner vs Rublev professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Rome Quarterfinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Sinner vs Rublev professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Rome Quarterfinal after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Jannik Sinner and Andrey Rublev in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, originally scheduled for May 14, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jannik Sinner' if Jannik Sinner advances against Andrey Rublev. This market will resolve to 'Andrey Rublev' if Andrey Rublev advances against Jannik Sinner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Jannik Sinner
95.5% avg
