Live prediction market odds for Arthur Fery vs. Adrian Mannarino. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-17
Arthur Fery vs. Adrian Mannarino — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-06-17. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Adrian Mannarino leads the “Arthur Fery vs. Adrian Mannarino” event at 51.3% implied probability, followed by Arthur Fery at 49.0%. A 2.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Arthur Fery vs. Adrian Mannarino is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Adrian Mannarino leads at 51% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Arthur Fery at 49%.
Adrian Mannarino currently leads at 51% implied probability. Behind Adrian Mannarino, Arthur Fery at 49% are the next closest contenders. A 2.0% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Adrian Mannarino: 51¢ on Kalshi, 52¢ on Polymarket. Arthur Fery: 50¢ on Kalshi, 48¢ on Polymarket. The 2.0% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 51¢ means the market estimates a 51% probability that Adrian Mannarino will be the outcome. Buying one share at 51¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 96% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Arthur Fery wins the Mannarino vs Fery professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP London Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Mannarino vs Fery professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP London Round Of 16 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Adrian Mannarino and Arthur Fery in the HSBC Championships, originally scheduled for June 17, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adrian Mannarino' if Adrian Mannarino advances against Arthur Fery. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Fery' if Arthur Fery advances against Adrian Mannarino. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Adrian Mannarino
51.3% avg
