Live prediction market odds for Arthur Fils vs. Jannik Sinner. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-05-01
Arthur Fils vs. Jannik Sinner — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-05-01. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Jannik Sinner leads the “Arthur Fils vs. Jannik Sinner” event at 84.0% implied probability, followed by Arthur Fils at 16.0%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread.
Arthur Fils vs. Jannik Sinner is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Jannik Sinner leads at 84% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Arthur Fils at 16%.
Jannik Sinner currently leads at 84% implied probability. Behind Jannik Sinner, Arthur Fils at 16% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Jannik Sinner: 84¢ on Kalshi, 84¢ on Polymarket. Arthur Fils: 16¢ on Kalshi, 16¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 84¢ means the market estimates a 84% probability that Jannik Sinner will be the outcome. Buying one share at 84¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 19% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Jannik Sinner
84.0% avg
