Live prediction market odds for Arthur Fils vs. Rafael Jodar. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-18
Arthur Fils vs. Rafael Jodar — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-18. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Arthur Fils leads the “Arthur Fils vs. Rafael Jodar” event at 59.5% implied probability, followed by Rafael Jodar at 41.5%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread.
Arthur Fils vs. Rafael Jodar is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Arthur Fils leads at 60% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Rafael Jodar at 42%.
Arthur Fils currently leads at 60% implied probability. Behind Arthur Fils, Rafael Jodar at 42% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Arthur Fils: 60¢ on Kalshi, 59¢ on Polymarket. Rafael Jodar: 42¢ on Kalshi, 41¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 60¢ means the market estimates a 60% probability that Arthur Fils will be the outcome. Buying one share at 60¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 67% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Rafael Jodar wins the Jodar vs Fils professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Barcelona Semifinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Jodar vs Fils professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Barcelona Semifinal after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Rafael Jodar and Arthur Fils in the Barcelona Open, originally scheduled for April 18, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rafael Jodar' if Rafael Jodar advances against Arthur Fils. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Fils' if Arthur Fils advances against Rafael Jodar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Arthur Fils
59.5% avg
