Live prediction market odds for Arthur Gea vs. Raul Brancaccio. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-22
Arthur Gea vs. Raul Brancaccio — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-06-22. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Arthur Gea leads the “Arthur Gea vs. Raul Brancaccio” event at 78.0% implied probability, followed by Raul Brancaccio at 22.5%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread.
Arthur Gea vs. Raul Brancaccio is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Arthur Gea leads at 78% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Raul Brancaccio at 23%.
Arthur Gea currently leads at 78% implied probability. Behind Arthur Gea, Raul Brancaccio at 23% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Arthur Gea: 78¢ on Kalshi, 78¢ on Polymarket. Raul Brancaccio: 23¢ on Kalshi, 22¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 78¢ means the market estimates a 78% probability that Arthur Gea will be the outcome. Buying one share at 78¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 28% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Arthur Gea wins the Brancaccio vs Gea professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Men Singles Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Brancaccio vs Gea professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Men Singles Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Raul Brancaccio and Arthur Gea in the Wimbledon, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for June 22, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Raul Brancaccio' if Raul Brancaccio advances against Arthur Gea. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Gea' if Arthur Gea advances against Raul Brancaccio. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Arthur Gea
78.0% avg
