Live prediction market odds for Arthur Gea vs. SoonWoo Kwon. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-24
Arthur Gea vs. SoonWoo Kwon — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-06-24. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Arthur Gea leads the “Arthur Gea vs. SoonWoo Kwon” event at 52.0% implied probability, followed by SoonWoo Kwon at 47.5%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread.
Arthur Gea vs. SoonWoo Kwon is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Arthur Gea leads at 52% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include SoonWoo Kwon at 48%.
Arthur Gea currently leads at 52% implied probability. Behind Arthur Gea, SoonWoo Kwon at 48% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Arthur Gea: 52¢ on Kalshi, 52¢ on Polymarket. SoonWoo Kwon: 47¢ on Kalshi, 48¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 52¢ means the market estimates a 52% probability that Arthur Gea will be the outcome. Buying one share at 52¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 92% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Soonwoo Kwon wins the Kwon vs Gea professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Men Singles Qualification Final after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Kwon vs Gea professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Men Singles Qualification Final after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Soon-Woo Kwon and Arthur Gea in the Wimbledon, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for June 24, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Soon-Woo Kwon' if Soon-Woo Kwon advances against Arthur Gea. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Gea' if Arthur Gea advances against Soon-Woo Kwon. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Arthur Gea
52.0% avg
