Live prediction market odds for Arthur Gea vs. Zizou Bergs. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-05-19
Arthur Gea vs. Zizou Bergs — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-05-19. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Zizou Bergs leads the “Arthur Gea vs. Zizou Bergs” event at 56.0% implied probability, followed by Arthur Gea at 43.5%. A 11.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Arthur Gea vs. Zizou Bergs is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Zizou Bergs leads at 56% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Arthur Gea at 44%.
Zizou Bergs currently leads at 56% implied probability. Behind Zizou Bergs, Arthur Gea at 44% are the next closest contenders. The 11.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Zizou Bergs: 61¢ on Kalshi, 51¢ on Polymarket. Arthur Gea: 38¢ on Kalshi, 49¢ on Polymarket. The 11.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 56¢ means the market estimates a 56% probability that Zizou Bergs will be the outcome. Buying one share at 56¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 79% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Arthur Gea wins the Bergs vs Gea professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Hamburg Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Bergs vs Gea professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Hamburg Round Of 32 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Zizou Bergs and Arthur Gea in the Hamburg European Open, originally scheduled for May 19, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Zizou Bergs' if Zizou Bergs advances against Arthur Gea. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Gea' if Arthur Gea advances against Zizou Bergs. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Zizou Bergs
56.0% avg
