Live prediction market odds for Benjamin Bonzi vs. Jesper de Jong. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-04-11
This market resolved on 2026-04-11. Jesper de Jong was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Benjamin Bonzi vs. Jesper de Jong — ATP Tennis match held on 2026-04-11. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Jesper de JongWINNER | 99% | 100% |
Benjamin Bonzi | 1% | 0% |
Benjamin Bonzi vs. Jesper de Jong was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Jesper de Jong led the market at 99% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Benjamin Bonzi at 1%.
Jesper de Jong held the lead at 99% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Jesper de Jong, Benjamin Bonzi at 1% were the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Jesper de Jong: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Benjamin Bonzi: 1¢ on Kalshi, 0¢ on Polymarket. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 99¢ meant the market estimated a 99% chance that Jesper de Jong would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 99¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 1% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Jesper De Jong wins the De Jong vs Bonzi professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Barcelona Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the De Jong vs Bonzi professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Barcelona Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers on the tennis match between Jesper de Jong and Benjamin Bonzi in the Barcelona Open, Qualification, scheduled for April 11 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jesper de Jong' if Jesper de Jong advances against Benjamin Bonzi. This market will resolve to 'Benjamin Bonzi' if Benjamin Bonzi advances against Jesper de Jong. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Jesper de Jong
99.5% avg
