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ARBITRAGE_ACTIVE // SPREAD: 65.0% // +$6500.00

Live prediction market odds for Benjamin Bonzi vs. Ugo Humbert. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Kalshi / Polymarket

Benjamin Bonzi vs. Ugo Humbert

2026-06-10

About This Market

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Benjamin Bonzi vs. Ugo Humbert — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-06-10. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Ugo Humbert leads the “Benjamin Bonzi vs. Ugo Humbert” event at 33.5% implied probability, followed by Benjamin Bonzi at 66.5%. A 65.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
UH
Ugo Humbert
58% Avg
Kalshi100¢
Polymarket66¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
50.0%0¢100¢0¢100¢
PolymarketPolymarket
65.5%65¢66¢34¢35¢
BB
Benjamin Bonzi
42% Avg
Kalshi100¢
Polymarket35¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
50.0%0¢100¢0¢100¢
PolymarketPolymarket
34.5%34¢35¢65¢66¢

Frequently Asked Questions

What is "Benjamin Bonzi vs. Ugo Humbert" and why does it matter?

Benjamin Bonzi vs. Ugo Humbert is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Ugo Humbert leads at 34% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Benjamin Bonzi at 67%.

What is moving the odds on "Benjamin Bonzi vs. Ugo Humbert"?

Ugo Humbert currently leads at 34% implied probability. Behind Ugo Humbert, Benjamin Bonzi at 67% are the next closest contenders. The 65.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

What are the current odds for "Benjamin Bonzi vs. Ugo Humbert" across platforms?

Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Ugo Humbert: 1¢ on Kalshi, 66¢ on Polymarket. Benjamin Bonzi: 99¢ on Kalshi, 34¢ on Polymarket. The 65.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.

What does it mean that Ugo Humbert is at 34%?

A price of 34¢ means the market estimates a 34% probability that Ugo Humbert will be the outcome. Buying one share at 34¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 194% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
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Stats

Market Rulebook: Benjamin Bonzi vs. Ugo Humbert

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Benjamin Bonzi wins the Humbert vs Bonzi professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP S-Hertogenbosch Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Humbert vs Bonzi professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP S-Hertogenbosch Round Of 16 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market refers to the tennis match between Ugo Humbert and Benjamin Bonzi in the Libema Open, originally scheduled for June 10, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ugo Humbert' if Ugo Humbert advances against Benjamin Bonzi. This market will resolve to 'Benjamin Bonzi' if Benjamin Bonzi advances against Ugo Humbert. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
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Spread65.0%
Platforms2
Candidates2
Leader

Ugo Humbert

33.5% avg

No price history available
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PolymarketLibema Open: Ugo Humbert vs Benjamin Bonzi
BUYBenjamin Bonzi@ 92¢$1.1M PnL
Payout$569
Stake$523.37
2d ago
PolymarketLibema Open: Ugo Humbert vs Benjamin Bonzi
BUYUgo Humbert@ 12¢$3.0M PnL
Payout$4,818
Stake$578.17
2d ago
PolymarketLibema Open: Ugo Humbert vs Benjamin Bonzi
BUYUgo Humbert@ 12¢$3.0M PnL
Payout$5,249
Stake$629.83
2d ago
PolymarketLibema Open: Ugo Humbert vs Benjamin Bonzi
BUYBenjamin Bonzi@ 62¢$1.1M PnL
Payout$1,183
Stake$732.93
2d ago
PolymarketLibema Open: Ugo Humbert vs Benjamin Bonzi
BUYUgo Humbert@ 40¢$218K PnL
Payout$3,000
Stake$1,200.03
2d ago