Live prediction market odds for Borna Gojo vs. Marco Trungelliti. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-20
Borna Gojo vs. Marco Trungelliti — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-20. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Marco Trungelliti leads the “Borna Gojo vs. Marco Trungelliti” event at 62.3% implied probability, followed by Borna Gojo at 38.3%. A 19.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Borna Gojo vs. Marco Trungelliti is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Marco Trungelliti leads at 62% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Borna Gojo at 38%.
Marco Trungelliti currently leads at 62% implied probability. Behind Marco Trungelliti, Borna Gojo at 38% are the next closest contenders. The 19.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Marco Trungelliti: 53¢ on Kalshi, 72¢ on Polymarket. Borna Gojo: 48¢ on Kalshi, 29¢ on Polymarket. The 19.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 62¢ means the market estimates a 62% probability that Marco Trungelliti will be the outcome. Buying one share at 62¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 61% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Marco Trungelliti
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Marco Trungelliti wins the Trungelliti vs Gojo professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Madrid Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Trungelliti vs Gojo professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Madrid Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Borna Gojo and Marco Trungelliti in the Madrid Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for April 20, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Gojo" if Borna Gojo wins by 2 or more sets than Marco Trungelliti, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Trungelliti." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.
62.3% avg
