Live prediction market odds for Brandon Nakashima vs. Arthur Fils. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-16
Brandon Nakashima vs. Arthur Fils — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-16. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Arthur Fils leads the “Brandon Nakashima vs. Arthur Fils” event at 69.8% implied probability, followed by Brandon Nakashima at 30.5%. A 5.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Brandon Nakashima vs. Arthur Fils is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Arthur Fils leads at 70% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Brandon Nakashima at 31%.
Arthur Fils currently leads at 70% implied probability. Behind Arthur Fils, Brandon Nakashima at 31% are the next closest contenders. The 5.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Arthur Fils: 68¢ on Kalshi, 72¢ on Polymarket. Brandon Nakashima: 33¢ on Kalshi, 28¢ on Polymarket. The 5.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 70¢ means the market estimates a 70% probability that Arthur Fils will be the outcome. Buying one share at 70¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 43% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
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This market resolves based on official announcements from authoritative sources. Prediction Hunt aggregates odds across platforms but does not determine outcomes. Each platform maintains its own resolution criteria — check each platform's rules before trading.
Arthur Fils
69.8% avg
