Live prediction market odds for Brandon Nakashima vs. Roman Andres Burruchaga. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-02
Brandon Nakashima vs. Roman Andres Burruchaga — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-02. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Brandon Nakashima leads the “Brandon Nakashima vs. Roman Andres Burruchaga” event at 29.8% implied probability, followed by Roman Andres Burruchaga at 70.3%. A 57.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Brandon Nakashima vs. Roman Andres Burruchaga is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Brandon Nakashima leads at 30% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Roman Andres Burruchaga at 70%.
Brandon Nakashima currently leads at 30% implied probability. Behind Brandon Nakashima, Roman Andres Burruchaga at 70% are the next closest contenders. The 57.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Brandon Nakashima: 1¢ on Kalshi, 59¢ on Polymarket. Roman Andres Burruchaga: 99¢ on Kalshi, 42¢ on Polymarket. The 57.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 30¢ means the market estimates a 30% probability that Brandon Nakashima will be the outcome. Buying one share at 30¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 233% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Brandon Nakashima
29.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Roman Andres Burruchaga wins the Burruchaga vs Nakashima professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Houston Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Burruchaga vs Nakashima professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Houston Round Of 16 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers on the tennis match between Roman Andres Burruchaga and Brandon Nakashima in the US Men's Clay Court Championships, scheduled for April 2 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Roman Andres Burruchaga' if Roman Andres Burruchaga advances against Brandon Nakashima. This market will resolve to 'Brandon Nakashima' if Brandon Nakashima advances against Roman Andres Burruchaga. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
