Live prediction market odds for Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs. Ignacio Buse. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-02
Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs. Ignacio Buse — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-02. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Ignacio Buse leads the “Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs. Ignacio Buse” event at 55.3% implied probability, followed by Camilo Ugo Carabelli at 45.8%. A 3.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs. Ignacio Buse is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Ignacio Buse leads at 55% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Camilo Ugo Carabelli at 46%.
Ignacio Buse currently leads at 55% implied probability. Behind Ignacio Buse, Camilo Ugo Carabelli at 46% are the next closest contenders. The 3.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Ignacio Buse: 57¢ on Kalshi, 54¢ on Polymarket. Camilo Ugo Carabelli: 45¢ on Kalshi, 47¢ on Polymarket. The 3.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 55¢ means the market estimates a 55% probability that Ignacio Buse will be the outcome. Buying one share at 55¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 82% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
Ignacio Buse
55.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Ignacio Buse wins the Buse vs Ugo Carabelli professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Marrakech Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Buse vs Ugo Carabelli professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Marrakech Round Of 16 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers on the tennis match between Ignacio Buse and Camilo Ugo Carabelli in the Grand Prix Hassan II, scheduled for April 1 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ignacio Buse' if Ignacio Buse advances against Camilo Ugo Carabelli. This market will resolve to 'Camilo Ugo Carabelli' if Camilo Ugo Carabelli advances against Ignacio Buse. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
