Live prediction market odds for Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs. Rafael Jodar. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-04
Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs. Rafael Jodar — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-04. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Rafael Jodar leads the “Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs. Rafael Jodar” event at 64.3% implied probability, followed by Camilo Ugo Carabelli at 35.8%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs. Rafael Jodar is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Rafael Jodar leads at 64% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Camilo Ugo Carabelli at 36%.
Rafael Jodar currently leads at 64% implied probability. Behind Rafael Jodar, Camilo Ugo Carabelli at 36% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Rafael Jodar: 64¢ on Kalshi, 65¢ on Polymarket. Camilo Ugo Carabelli: 36¢ on Kalshi, 36¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 64¢ means the market estimates a 64% probability that Rafael Jodar will be the outcome. Buying one share at 64¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 56% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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This market resolves based on official announcements from authoritative sources. Prediction Hunt aggregates odds across platforms but does not determine outcomes. Each platform maintains its own resolution criteria — check each platform's rules before trading.
Rafael Jodar
64.3% avg
