Live prediction market odds for Casper Ruud vs. Lorenzo Musetti. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-05-12
Casper Ruud vs. Lorenzo Musetti — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-05-12. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Casper Ruud leads the “Casper Ruud vs. Lorenzo Musetti” event at 63.0% implied probability, followed by Lorenzo Musetti at 37.5%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread.
Casper Ruud vs. Lorenzo Musetti is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Casper Ruud leads at 63% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Lorenzo Musetti at 38%.
Casper Ruud currently leads at 63% implied probability. Behind Casper Ruud, Lorenzo Musetti at 38% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Casper Ruud: 63¢ on Kalshi, 63¢ on Polymarket. Lorenzo Musetti: 38¢ on Kalshi, 37¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 63¢ means the market estimates a 63% probability that Casper Ruud will be the outcome. Buying one share at 63¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 59% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Casper Ruud
63.0% avg
