Live prediction market odds for Colton Smith vs. Jaime Faria. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-05-20
Colton Smith vs. Jaime Faria — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-05-20. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Jaime Faria leads the “Colton Smith vs. Jaime Faria” event at 89.5% implied probability, followed by Colton Smith at 11.0%. A 2.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Colton Smith vs. Jaime Faria is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Jaime Faria leads at 90% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Colton Smith at 11%.
Jaime Faria currently leads at 90% implied probability. Behind Jaime Faria, Colton Smith at 11% are the next closest contenders. A 2.0% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Jaime Faria: 89¢ on Kalshi, 90¢ on Polymarket. Colton Smith: 12¢ on Kalshi, 10¢ on Polymarket. The 2.0% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 90¢ means the market estimates a 90% probability that Jaime Faria will be the outcome. Buying one share at 90¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 11% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Colton Smith wins the Faria vs Smith professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Men Singles Qualification Final after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Faria vs Smith professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Men Singles Qualification Final after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Jaime Faria and Colton Smith in the Roland Garros, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for May 20, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jaime Faria' if Jaime Faria advances against Colton Smith. This market will resolve to 'Colton Smith' if Colton Smith advances against Jaime Faria. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Jaime Faria
89.5% avg
