Live prediction market odds for Cristian Garin vs. Henri Squire. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-05-16
Cristian Garin vs. Henri Squire — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-05-16. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Cristian Garin leads the “Cristian Garin vs. Henri Squire” event at 78.0% implied probability, followed by Henri Squire at 22.0%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread.
Cristian Garin vs. Henri Squire is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Cristian Garin leads at 78% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Henri Squire at 22%.
Cristian Garin currently leads at 78% implied probability. Behind Cristian Garin, Henri Squire at 22% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Cristian Garin: 78¢ on Kalshi, 78¢ on Polymarket. Henri Squire: 22¢ on Kalshi, 22¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 78¢ means the market estimates a 78% probability that Cristian Garin will be the outcome. Buying one share at 78¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 28% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Henri Squire wins the Squire vs Garin professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Hamburg Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Squire vs Garin professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Hamburg Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Henri Squire and Cristian Garin in the Hamburg European Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for May 16, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Henri Squire' if Henri Squire advances against Cristian Garin. This market will resolve to 'Cristian Garin' if Cristian Garin advances against Henri Squire. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Cristian Garin
78.0% avg
