Live prediction market odds for Damir Dzumhur vs. Tallon Griekspoor. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-04-24
This market resolved on 2026-04-24. Tallon Griekspoor was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Damir Dzumhur vs. Tallon Griekspoor — ATP Tennis match held on 2026-04-24. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Tallon GriekspoorWINNER | 99% | 100% |
Damir Dzumhur | 1% | 0% |
Damir Dzumhur vs. Tallon Griekspoor was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Tallon Griekspoor led the market at 99% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Damir Dzumhur at 1%.
Tallon Griekspoor held the lead at 99% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Tallon Griekspoor, Damir Dzumhur at 1% were the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.9% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Tallon Griekspoor: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Damir Dzumhur: 1¢ on Kalshi, 0¢ on Polymarket. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.9% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 99¢ meant the market estimated a 99% chance that Tallon Griekspoor would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 99¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 1% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Tallon Griekspoor
99.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Tallon Griekspoor wins the Griekspoor vs Dzumhur professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Madrid Round Of 64 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Griekspoor vs Dzumhur professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Madrid Round Of 64 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Tallon Griekspoor and Damir Dzumhur in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 24, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Griekspoor” if Tallon Griekspoor wins the first set. It will resolve to “Dzumhur” if Damir Dzumhur wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics.
