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Live prediction market odds for Daniel Altmaier vs. Alex Molcan. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
Sign-up bonus

Trade $20, get $20

Sign-up bonus on Kalshi. T&Cs apply.

Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Jun 17, 2026Last used 14 mins ago2 min avg claim

Kalshi / Polymarket

Daniel Altmaier vs. Alex Molcan

2026-06-30

About This Market

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Daniel Altmaier vs. Alex Molcan — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-06-30. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Daniel Altmaier leads the “Daniel Altmaier vs. Alex Molcan” event at 51.3% implied probability, followed by Alex Molcan at 48.5%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
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Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
Sign-up bonus

Trade $20, get $20

Sign-up bonus on Kalshi. T&Cs apply.

Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Jun 17, 2026Last used 14 mins ago2 min avg claim

Live Markets

2 platforms
DA
Daniel Altmaier
51% Avg
Kalshi51¢
Polymarket52¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
50.5%50¢51¢49¢50¢
PolymarketPolymarket
51.5%51¢52¢48¢49¢
AM
Alex Molcan
49% Avg
Kalshi49¢
Polymarket49¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
48.5%48¢49¢51¢52¢
PolymarketPolymarket
48.5%48¢49¢51¢52¢

Frequently Asked Questions

What is "Daniel Altmaier vs. Alex Molcan" and why does it matter?

Daniel Altmaier vs. Alex Molcan is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Daniel Altmaier leads at 51% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Alex Molcan at 49%.

What is moving the odds on "Daniel Altmaier vs. Alex Molcan"?

Daniel Altmaier currently leads at 51% implied probability. Behind Daniel Altmaier, Alex Molcan at 49% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.

What are the current odds for "Daniel Altmaier vs. Alex Molcan" across platforms?

Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Daniel Altmaier: 51¢ on Kalshi, 52¢ on Polymarket. Alex Molcan: 49¢ on Kalshi, 49¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.

What does it mean that Daniel Altmaier is at 51%?

A price of 51¢ means the market estimates a 51% probability that Daniel Altmaier will be the outcome. Buying one share at 51¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 96% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread0.5%
Platforms2
Candidates2
Leader

Daniel Altmaier

51.3% avg

Market Rulebook: Daniel Altmaier vs. Alex Molcan

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Alex Molcan wins the Molcan vs Altmaier professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Men Singles Round Of 128 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Molcan vs Altmaier professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Men Singles Round Of 128 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Molcan and Daniel Altmaier in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex Molcan' if Alex Molcan advances against Daniel Altmaier. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Altmaier' if Daniel Altmaier advances against Alex Molcan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
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