Live prediction market odds for Daniel Merida vs. Billy Harris. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Join our Discord for breaking news alerts, driven by real-time movements in prediction markets.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-20
Daniel Merida vs. Billy Harris — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-20. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Daniel Merida leads the “Daniel Merida vs. Billy Harris” event at 77.5% implied probability, followed by Billy Harris at 23.5%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread.
Daniel Merida vs. Billy Harris is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Daniel Merida leads at 78% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Billy Harris at 24%.
Daniel Merida currently leads at 78% implied probability. Behind Daniel Merida, Billy Harris at 24% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Daniel Merida: 78¢ on Kalshi, 77¢ on Polymarket. Billy Harris: 24¢ on Kalshi, 23¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 78¢ means the market estimates a 78% probability that Daniel Merida will be the outcome. Buying one share at 78¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 28% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
Build a custom bot or arb alert system for the “Daniel Merida vs. Billy Harris” event. All for free.
As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
Used by builders and traders in our 2K+ Discord community
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Billy Harris wins the Harris vs Merida professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Madrid Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Harris vs Merida professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Madrid Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Billy Harris and Daniel Merida Aguilar in the Madrid Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for April 20, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Billy Harris' if Billy Harris advances against Daniel Merida Aguilar. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Merida Aguilar' if Daniel Merida Aguilar advances against Billy Harris. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Daniel Merida
77.5% avg
