Live prediction market odds for Daniel Merida vs. Ethan Quinn. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-12
Daniel Merida vs. Ethan Quinn — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-12. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Daniel Merida leads the “Daniel Merida vs. Ethan Quinn” event at 59.0% implied probability, followed by Ethan Quinn at 41.8%. A 2.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Daniel Merida vs. Ethan Quinn is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Daniel Merida leads at 59% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Ethan Quinn at 42%.
Daniel Merida currently leads at 59% implied probability. Behind Daniel Merida, Ethan Quinn at 42% are the next closest contenders. A 2.0% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Daniel Merida: 60¢ on Kalshi, 58¢ on Polymarket. Ethan Quinn: 42¢ on Kalshi, 42¢ on Polymarket. The 2.0% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 59¢ means the market estimates a 59% probability that Daniel Merida will be the outcome. Buying one share at 59¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 69% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Daniel Merida
59.0% avg
