Live prediction market odds for Daniel Merida vs. Fabian Marozsan. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-04
Daniel Merida vs. Fabian Marozsan — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-04. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Fabian Marozsan leads the “Daniel Merida vs. Fabian Marozsan” event at 70.5% implied probability, followed by Daniel Merida at 30.0%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread.
Daniel Merida vs. Fabian Marozsan is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Fabian Marozsan leads at 71% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Daniel Merida at 30%.
Fabian Marozsan currently leads at 71% implied probability. Behind Fabian Marozsan, Daniel Merida at 30% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Fabian Marozsan: 71¢ on Kalshi, 70¢ on Polymarket. Daniel Merida: 30¢ on Kalshi, 30¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 71¢ means the market estimates a 71% probability that Fabian Marozsan will be the outcome. Buying one share at 71¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 41% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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This market resolves based on official announcements from authoritative sources. Prediction Hunt aggregates odds across platforms but does not determine outcomes. Each platform maintains its own resolution criteria — check each platform's rules before trading.
Fabian Marozsan
70.5% avg
