Live prediction market odds for Daniel Merida vs. Mariano Navone. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-05
Daniel Merida vs. Mariano Navone — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-05. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Mariano Navone leads the “Daniel Merida vs. Mariano Navone” event at 71.8% implied probability, followed by Daniel Merida at 29.3%. A 2.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Daniel Merida vs. Mariano Navone is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Mariano Navone leads at 72% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Daniel Merida at 29%.
Mariano Navone currently leads at 72% implied probability. Behind Mariano Navone, Daniel Merida at 29% are the next closest contenders. A 2.5% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Mariano Navone: 73¢ on Kalshi, 71¢ on Polymarket. Daniel Merida: 29¢ on Kalshi, 30¢ on Polymarket. The 2.5% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 72¢ means the market estimates a 72% probability that Mariano Navone will be the outcome. Buying one share at 72¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 39% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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This market resolves based on official announcements from authoritative sources. Prediction Hunt aggregates odds across platforms but does not determine outcomes. Each platform maintains its own resolution criteria — check each platform's rules before trading.
Mariano Navone
71.8% avg
