Live prediction market odds for Daniel Merida vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-27
Daniel Merida vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-27. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Stefanos Tsitsipas leads the “Daniel Merida vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas” event at 67.5% implied probability, followed by Daniel Merida at 33.5%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread.
Daniel Merida vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Stefanos Tsitsipas leads at 68% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Daniel Merida at 34%.
Stefanos Tsitsipas currently leads at 68% implied probability. Behind Stefanos Tsitsipas, Daniel Merida at 34% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Stefanos Tsitsipas: 68¢ on Kalshi, 67¢ on Polymarket. Daniel Merida: 34¢ on Kalshi, 33¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 68¢ means the market estimates a 68% probability that Stefanos Tsitsipas will be the outcome. Buying one share at 68¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 47% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Stefanos Tsitsipas
67.5% avg
