Live prediction market odds for Daniel Michalski vs. Nikoloz Basilashvili. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-03-30
Daniel Michalski vs. Nikoloz Basilashvili — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-03-30. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Nikoloz Basilashvili leads the “Daniel Michalski vs. Nikoloz Basilashvili” event at 64.5% implied probability, followed by Daniel Michalski at 35.8%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread.
Daniel Michalski vs. Nikoloz Basilashvili is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Nikoloz Basilashvili leads at 65% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Daniel Michalski at 36%.
Nikoloz Basilashvili currently leads at 65% implied probability. Behind Nikoloz Basilashvili, Daniel Michalski at 36% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Nikoloz Basilashvili: 65¢ on Kalshi, 64¢ on Polymarket. Daniel Michalski: 36¢ on Kalshi, 36¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 65¢ means the market estimates a 65% probability that Nikoloz Basilashvili will be the outcome. Buying one share at 65¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 54% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
Nikoloz Basilashvili
64.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Nikoloz Basilashvili wins the Basilashvili vs Michalski professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Bucharest Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Basilashvili vs Michalski professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Bucharest Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Nikoloz Basilashvili and Daniel Michalski in the Bucharest Open, Qualification, scheduled for March 29 2026. This market will resolve to “Basilashvili” if Nikoloz Basilashvili wins the first set. It will resolve to “Michalski” if Daniel Michalski wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics.
