Live prediction market odds for Daniil Medvedev vs. Daniel Altmaier. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-19
Daniil Medvedev vs. Daniel Altmaier — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-06-19. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Daniil Medvedev leads the “Daniil Medvedev vs. Daniel Altmaier” event at 84.5% implied probability, followed by Daniel Altmaier at 16.0%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread.
Daniil Medvedev vs. Daniel Altmaier is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Daniil Medvedev leads at 85% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Daniel Altmaier at 16%.
Daniil Medvedev currently leads at 85% implied probability. Behind Daniil Medvedev, Daniel Altmaier at 16% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Daniil Medvedev: 85¢ on Kalshi, 84¢ on Polymarket. Daniel Altmaier: 16¢ on Kalshi, 16¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 85¢ means the market estimates a 85% probability that Daniil Medvedev will be the outcome. Buying one share at 85¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 18% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Daniel Altmaier wins the Altmaier vs Medvedev professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Halle Quarterfinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Altmaier vs Medvedev professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Halle Quarterfinal after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Altmaier and Daniil Medvedev in the Halle Open, originally scheduled for June 19, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Altmaier' if Daniel Altmaier advances against Daniil Medvedev. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Medvedev' if Daniil Medvedev advances against Daniel Altmaier. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Daniil Medvedev
84.5% avg
