Live prediction market odds for Daniil Medvedev vs. Daniel Merida. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-07-01
Daniil Medvedev vs. Daniel Merida — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-07-01. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Daniil Medvedev leads the “Daniil Medvedev vs. Daniel Merida” event at 93.5% implied probability, followed by Daniel Merida at 7.0%. A 3.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Daniil Medvedev vs. Daniel Merida is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Daniil Medvedev leads at 94% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Daniel Merida at 7%.
Daniil Medvedev currently leads at 94% implied probability. Behind Daniil Medvedev, Daniel Merida at 7% are the next closest contenders. A 3.0% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Daniil Medvedev: 95¢ on Kalshi, 92¢ on Polymarket. Daniel Merida: 6¢ on Kalshi, 8¢ on Polymarket. The 3.0% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 94¢ means the market estimates a 94% probability that Daniil Medvedev will be the outcome. Buying one share at 94¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 6% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Daniil Medvedev
93.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Daniel Merida wins the Merida vs Medvedev professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Men Singles Round Of 64 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Merida vs Medvedev professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Men Singles Round Of 64 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Merida Aguilar and Daniil Medvedev in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Merida Aguilar' if Daniel Merida Aguilar advances against Daniil Medvedev. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Medvedev' if Daniil Medvedev advances against Daniel Merida Aguilar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
