Live prediction market odds for Daniil Medvedev vs. Terence Atmane. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-17
Daniil Medvedev vs. Terence Atmane — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-06-17. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Daniil Medvedev leads the “Daniil Medvedev vs. Terence Atmane” event at 83.5% implied probability, followed by Terence Atmane at 17.0%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread.
Daniil Medvedev vs. Terence Atmane is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Daniil Medvedev leads at 84% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Terence Atmane at 17%.
Daniil Medvedev currently leads at 84% implied probability. Behind Daniil Medvedev, Terence Atmane at 17% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Daniil Medvedev: 84¢ on Kalshi, 83¢ on Polymarket. Terence Atmane: 17¢ on Kalshi, 17¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 84¢ means the market estimates a 84% probability that Daniil Medvedev will be the outcome. Buying one share at 84¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 19% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Terence Atmane wins the Atmane vs Medvedev professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Halle Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Atmane vs Medvedev professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Halle Round Of 16 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Terence Atmane and Daniil Medvedev in the Halle Open, originally scheduled for June 17, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Terence Atmane' if Terence Atmane advances against Daniil Medvedev. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Medvedev' if Daniil Medvedev advances against Terence Atmane. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Daniil Medvedev
83.5% avg
