Live prediction market odds for Diego Dedura vs. Luca Van Assche. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-20
Diego Dedura vs. Luca Van Assche — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-20. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Luca Van Assche is priced at 58.5% implied probability for the “Diego Dedura vs. Luca Van Assche” event. A 25.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Diego Dedura vs. Luca Van Assche is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Luca Van Assche leads at 59% implied probability, making it the market favorite.
Luca Van Assche currently leads at 59% implied probability. The 25.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Luca Van Assche: 71¢ on Kalshi, 46¢ on Polymarket. The 25.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 59¢ means the market estimates a 59% probability that Luca Van Assche will be the outcome. Buying one share at 59¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 69% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Luca Van Assche
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Luca Van Assche wins the Van Assche vs Dedura-Palomero professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Madrid Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Van Assche vs Dedura-Palomero professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Madrid Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Luca Van Assche and Diego Dedura-Palomero in the Madrid Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for April 20, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Assche" if Luca Van Assche wins by 2 or more sets than Diego Dedura-Palomero, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Dedura-Palomero." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.
58.5% avg
